Methods that explore more tend to learn better
The five harnesses have exactly the same ranking by exploration and Hidden reward (ρ = 1.00). Prime and CH try more distinct answers, while weaker learners often keep repeating the same behavior.
(b) Reward vs. exploration
(d) Reward vs. exploration
Exploration predicts adaptation. Mean number of distinct answers after k Hidden serving tickets of a policy, and its area (exploration AUC) against mean Hidden reward over the six Retail and Banking settings; ρ is the Spearman rank correlation.
A large learning gap remains
Across the four open-weight models, Prime and CH achieve average Hidden scores of 61.7 and 57.6, ahead of the other learners at 38.3–43.4. Yet even the strongest learner remains far below Oracle's 94.5.
Hidden and Fully Specified test scores, averaged by model and by method over the four open-weight models.
Higher reward comes at a substantial cost
Prime achieves 59.0 Hidden reward at $0.195 per task. CH reaches 55.1 at $0.083, delivering nearly as much reward at less than half the cost.
Cost against reward. Average API cost of one task, serving stream (learning work included) and held-out test pooled, with Hidden and all-case reward averaged over the nine settings.
Learning speed depends strongly on the harness
Prime and CH learn new policies fastest in both domains. After five examples of a Banking policy, both answer roughly 60% of subsequent tasks correctly; progress is slower in Retail.
How fast does a method learn a new policy? Correctness on a policy's Hidden serving tickets against how many earlier tickets of the same policy it has seen, and AULC10, the mean correctness over the first ten.
Learning can damage already-correct behavior
On Fully Specified Retail tasks, every learning harness falls below Blind's 98.9% accuracy, reaching only 89.5–95.5%. This loss is not universal: Prime and Mem0 improve on Blind in Banking.
Fully Specified accuracy, averaged over the four open-weight models and three tiers in each domain.